Richmond v Carlton. So I began collecting this, and now theres a page to view it. Squiggle, the home of computer-aided AFL footy tipping, offers a handy ladder prediction tool. (VIC)0.51 wins - 0.49 winsRealProbs: 0.512898 - 0.487102RealScores: 82.864758 - 80.390502, Port Adelaide 98 - 58 West Coast Adelaide Oval (SA)0.81 wins - 0.19 winsRealProbs: 0.809087 - 0.190913RealScores: 98.193001 - 58.047175, Adelaide 72 - 87 Collingwood Adelaide Oval (SA)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.373977 - 0.626023RealScores: 72.300371 - 86.934668, Brisbane Lions 81 - 66 Fremantle Gabba (QLD)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.624623 - 0.375377RealScores: 80.784883 - 66.313790, Essendon 60 - 103 Geelong M.C.G. The most important factor is the final scoreline. (VIC)0.57 wins - 0.43 winsRealProbs: 0.569407 - 0.430593RealScores: 90.407914 - 82.185528, St Kilda 67 - 75 Melbourne Docklands (VIC)0.43 wins - 0.57 winsRealProbs: 0.428336 - 0.571664RealScores: 66.730391 - 75.191307, Western Bulldogs 79 - 80 Collingwood Docklands (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499909 - 0.500091RealScores: 78.596428 - 79.774099, Adelaide 80 - 70 Greater Western Sydney Adelaide Oval (SA)0.59 wins - 0.41 winsRealProbs: 0.588485 - 0.411515RealScores: 80.265596 - 69.896867, Carlton 88 - 68 Port Adelaide Docklands (VIC)0.67 wins - 0.33 winsRealProbs: 0.666822 - 0.333178RealScores: 87.506821 - 68.248645, Collingwood 79 - 60 Fremantle M.C.G. And indeed we had a number of clubs at historical lows in this period, including two teams who were introduced to the league. Odds correct at time of writing. Squiggle5 moved to a more crowd-based model of home ground advantage in 2020. Massive thank you for 50 subscribers!!! Captured a great grassroots sporting moment? Squiggle AFL Prediction & Analysis. I keep pestering them too and they never respond the pussies, Looks good, seems to work pretty perfectly. I dont see Newcastle going anywhere this season, and a bottom-four finish is almost a lock. Thats the best possible use of football. For a better method, see FLAGPOLE. twice as good, while keeping them to 20 points is considered four times as good, and keeping Squiggle gets excited about very low-scoring games. You can view tips for previous rounds via the "History" link on the Tips page. There is no huge reason why they will improve, and Adam OBrien is a big contender for the first coach to get the axe in 2023. (VIC)0.55 wins - 0.45 winsRealProbs: 0.550603 - 0.449397RealScores: 90.349201 - 83.338693, St Kilda 78 - 73 Gold Coast Docklands (VIC)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.531706 - 0.468294RealScores: 78.000018 - 73.028658, Sydney 89 - 69 Port Adelaide S.C.G. Several other filters and algorithms are used to manipulate scores produced by the OFFDEF engine, including If you encounter any issues please contact us Status: Done! They hosted just 4 interstate teams (at Docklands, which their opponents visit often) while taking 6 interstate trips, including two to Perth, plus a bus to Kardinia. Yeah, hard pass on that considering how Geelong in 08 and the Pies in 11 went in the GF of those years. Sharks secure top 4 against tigers. Scores are predicted for each match using the formula: PREDICTED SCORE = 85 * TEAM ATTACK OPPOSITION DEFENCE. Use the free information below to help you with your NRL ladder predictor as we approach a huge month of finals footy. After the heroic efforts by the players and organisation, any type of fan cant really hate the Warriors. Generate home ground advantage from a ground familiarity algorithm. Diff. kicking many more goals than behinds), and padding scores that resulted from unusually And maybe we cant fix that; maybe the world isnt ready for a fixture that provides kinder fixtures to poor teams with smaller fan bases. Usually a curse is an odd stat that, at first glance, seems like it cant be the result of random chance, but thats only because we dont understand randomness. vs real-life results. No really hot takes this year, and it's going to be a tough one after an unusual 2020. (Which is hard to beat!) of teams sitting high & centre/left compared to today. See more of nrl ladder, games and injury updates on facebook. And then that team is tipped to win the following week, but it remains on 15 wins, now "15 (15.3)". General reasons that have lead to this include players simply not wanting to stay in New Zealand, as well as COVID-19 remaining a pain. Ryans ladder managed to get 7/8 finalists, which is fantastic given that three of them finished last year in 11th, 12th, and 17th. This is a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of squiggle tips. May 2, 2021 3 views. Adelaide Crows Women's Team: 3 x AFLW premiers! To be honest, Im not sure. (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.309105 - 0.690895RealScores: 70.129564 - 93.345657, Geelong 96 - 60 Western Bulldogs Kardinia Park (Gee)0.78 wins - 0.22 winsRealProbs: 0.779603 - 0.220397RealScores: 95.517851 - 60.298568, Hawthorn 70 - 71 Fremantle M.C.G. a positive direction on the chart (i.e. :-S. Bloody awesome mate. (VIC)0.64 wins - 0.36 winsRealProbs: 0.639168 - 0.360832RealScores: 85.919595 - 65.147775, Gold Coast 80 - 83 Sydney Carrara (QLD)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 79.976136 - 82.594255, Greater Western Sydney 79 - 71 Adelaide Sydney Showground (NSW)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.540488 - 0.459512RealScores: 79.326532 - 70.835931, Hawthorn 84 - 81 Essendon M.C.G. To some extent, this happens because teams cant play themselves you cant fixture the wooden spooner against the wooden spooner but still, things have not gone well when the premier has double-up games against the bottom 2 teams (representing 4 wins combined), while the bottom team faces both Grand Finalists, who have 34 wins. (VIC)0.17 wins - 0.83 winsRealProbs: 0.170170 - 0.829830RealScores: 60.246166 - 103.424556, Melbourne 101 - 57 North Melbourne M.C.G. The Panthers have completely dominated this season - dropping just one game against . The Warriors are by far in the toughest situation out of all 17 clubs at the moment. He also wisely tipped Collingwood to fall further than most (although not as far as they actually did). Last week, in the Squiggle models group chat of course theres a group chat Rory had a good idea: It turned out that everybody had data on hand for this, because if you have a model, you also have a rating system. If a team People love to invent theories. Please gamble responsibly. It has earned 0.6 more probable wins, but this still rounds off to 15. Sometimes a team will be tipped to win but not seem to be credited for it: this is because the predictor considers the likelihood of upsets. Prediction With plenty to play for from the top to the bottom of the ladder, we look at each NRL team's 2022 Premiership odds and go into what the rest of the season looks like. Sharks secure top 4 against tigers. Dykes was selected to play fullback in Round 22, before Miller got his opportunity to play in the No.1 jersey from Round 23 to the end of the regular season. featured alongside some of Australias most prominent sports journalists. May 2, 2021 3 views. Thats enough for the Giants to take the booby prize for the worst set of match-ups. ZERO TACKLE. The Model low accuracy, since these tend to be non-reproducible. Anywhere between there is a logjam. For example, Collingwood No really hot takes this year, and its going to be a tough one after an unusual 2020. MEL. (Rounding occurs so that teams can be secondarily ranked by their percentage.) OFFICIAL: 2023 AFL LADDER PREDICTIONS USING SQUIGGLE! Who's leading the ladder and who's lagging on the table in the 2023 AFL premiership season. No really hot takes this year, and its going to be a tough one after an unusual 2020. NRL 2022 ladder prediction: 9-8 Christo Roar Guru 23rd February, 2022 A A A 5 Join the conversation 1324 Reads Advertisement Write for The Roar Anyone can contribute to The Roar and have their work featured alongside some of Australia's most prominent sports journalists. Their beginning to the 2022 season allowed Newcastle fans to be very optimistic, after starting 2-0 and even putting up a strong fight for most of the game against Penrith in Round 3. They have no meaning except when comparing teams to each other. less positive movement than they would have for the same scoreline against a normal-strength Adelaide. (VIC)0.84 wins - 0.16 winsRealProbs: 0.835741 - 0.164259RealScores: 101.106299 - 56.883067, Richmond 95 - 80 Gold Coast Docklands (VIC)0.63 wins - 0.37 winsRealProbs: 0.628141 - 0.371859RealScores: 94.647947 - 79.766113, St Kilda 78 - 68 Port Adelaide Docklands (VIC)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.579699 - 0.420301RealScores: 77.789278 - 68.399093, Sydney 88 - 64 Greater Western Sydney S.C.G. There was a fair gap from these two to Jake Niall in third. (VIC)HGA: +1.0 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, Melbourne 81 - 73 Western Bulldogs M.C.G. Nswrl harvey norman women's premiership. Squiggle v1 used the algorithm ISTATE-91:12, in which 12 points of Home Ground Advantage is awarded to the home This is your opportunity to create a competition and challenge your friends, workmates and other NRL fans in a fun, easy-to-play format. AFL Prediction & Analysis Follow @SquiggleAFL Replay Past Seasons in the Ladder Predictor January 10, 2023 You can now load past years and either click through real results one game at a time, or fill in the whole year with Reset and tweak key results to see what changes. By rejecting non-essential cookies, Reddit may still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform. unusually high accuracy (i.e. If you want more rugby league content like, subscribe and comment! Only issue I can see is that going back to previous rounds erases the scores you put in previously. Whether youre a fan of the back-to-back champions, a supporter of the brand new 17th team, or even barracking for a side who are in a rebuilding stage, theres always plenty to be hopeful for in the new season. Is there anything magical about the first two games? The 2021 nrl season is underway from thursday march 11, 2021. Squiggle believes in honourable losses and shameful victories. For example, in the second match of 2018, Essendon defeated Adelaide by 12 points. Weeks Until Game: Games that are weeks or months in the future are a little less likely to be tipped correctly. The success was short-lived, as following those first three, they lost seven of their next eight games. Sharks secure top 4 against tigers. He certainly impressed and this is a good buy for the Knights. They visualize different game styles. Points Pts. (VIC)0.33 wins - 0.67 winsRealProbs: 0.328976 - 0.671024RealScores: 72.922563 - 92.607188, Sydney 80 - 62 Fremantle S.C.G. Here at Squiggle, we value the signal in the noise, even if theres still a lot of noise. For me, difficult to nail down a ladder predictor in actual spots, so more in a range, but somewhat in order Expect to finish in the 8 Cats, Demons, Tigers Fighting for a top 8 spot Lions, Blues, Swans, Pies, Dogs, Dockers, Port Next Level Crows, Bombers, Suns Saints, Eagles Then Giants, Roos, Hawks Hi, I made a simple NRL ladder predictor web app, please check it out here https://sonekil.github.io/. or anything else. FA Cup 4th Round -- Champs League Rd of 16 -- Europa - Rd of 16 -- Europa Conf - Rd of 16. Teams move when they do better or worse than Squiggle expected. For example, a team might be on "15 (14.7)" wins, which means 14.7 "probable wins" rounded off to 15. Run home: Warriors, Bulldogs, Cowboys, Sharks, Panthers, Bulldogs. No really hot takes this year, and it's going to be a tough one after an unusual 2020. But more importantly, the underlying effect sounds suspiciously like Its harder to make finals if you lose games. And we knew that already. The 2021 nrl ladder is live. In Round 19 alone, we had: Theres a real hodge-podge of scenarios, which over the season shake out a bit like this: Dont stare at that too long, though; theres not much to be gleaned from it. New Zealand welcomed home their beloved team for their first home game since 2019. (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 83.689220 - 80.548768, Melbourne 81 - 73 Western Bulldogs M.C.G. A prediction of where each team in the nrl 2021 season will fall. As described in the Model section, home ground advantage in Squiggle 2.0 I just know that people write in sometimes asking if the site can let them do that. The maths mean that if a team NRL NEWS. The Official NRL Tipping & Streak competitions are back in 2023. This is due to their team being one of the worst, if not the worst on paper. move to a better position, the team has to beat this expectation. You might be wondering why youd ever want to predict past ladders. Instead, theyre a simple answer to Rorys question: Which teams are actually good? Pos. and thinks a game in which one team is held to a single goal (or no goals!) Tip round 1 in Tipping - Weekly Platinum Membership prize. The foundation of the Squiggle model is the OFFDEF engine, which rates teams separately in terms of Of the 26 experts and models Ive tracked for three consecutive years, Peter has the best record, averaging 65.03 points across that period. (VIC)HGA: +1.4 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, Gold Coast 80 - 83 Sydney Carrara (QLD)HGA: +4.6 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, Greater Western Sydney 79 - 71 Adelaide Sydney Showground (NSW)HGA: +6.4 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, Hawthorn 84 - 81 Essendon M.C.G. (You can flip ten heads in a row, if youre willing to toss coins for a few hours, and people will think youre a magician.). Fill in the whole season: RESET RESET TO ACTUAL. (VIC)0.54 wins - 0.46 winsRealProbs: 0.537507 - 0.462493RealScores: 80.669251 - 72.524146, North Melbourne 84 - 73 West Coast Docklands (VIC)0.56 wins - 0.44 winsRealProbs: 0.561304 - 0.438696RealScores: 84.279873 - 73.339484, Port Adelaide 84 - 80 Brisbane Lions Adelaide Oval (SA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 83.528952 - 80.280506, Richmond 86 - 85 Carlton M.C.G. Squiggle doesn't consider the impact of weather. FOX SPORTS LAB PREDICTED LADDER. it will award the Hawks 0.68 wins and the Pies 0.32 wins, increasing both team's tally of "probable wins" by less than 1. (VIC)0.69 wins - 0.31 winsRealProbs: 0.690809 - 0.309191RealScores: 95.546381 - 73.597797, St Kilda 81 - 68 Hawthorn Docklands (VIC)0.61 wins - 0.39 winsRealProbs: 0.613025 - 0.386975RealScores: 80.740325 - 68.028525, Sydney 82 - 77 Carlton S.C.G. (VIC)HGA: +1.5 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, St Kilda 70 - 62 Fremantle Docklands (VIC)HGA: +6.7 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, Algorithm: SQUIGGLE5Tips after Round 0: 0. The 2023 AFL fixture will be released in the near future, and I have some thoughts. You still actually have to be a good team. possibly finish there. I am all about football as a mental escape from reality, Jake. Can a team lose and still move into a better squiggle position? (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 84.775807 - 84.067929, Fremantle 84 - 56 West Coast Perth Stadium (WA)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.711913 - 0.288087RealScores: 83.891988 - 56.374394, Gold Coast 66 - 91 Geelong Carrara (QLD)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.309702 - 0.690298RealScores: 66.216886 - 90.743459, Greater Western Sydney 66 - 84 Carlton Sydney Showground (NSW)0.37 wins - 0.63 winsRealProbs: 0.365143 - 0.634857RealScores: 66.466801 - 83.814491, Hawthorn 91 - 70 North Melbourne York Park (TAS)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.660217 - 0.339783RealScores: 90.968711 - 70.417564, Melbourne 81 - 72 Sydney M.C.G. This means it's significantly easier for a team to move rapidly rightwards on a squiggle than upwards. are almost guaranteed a bottom-4 fixture every year. Christo Roar Guru 12th February, 2023 A A A 34 Join the conversation 3673 Reads Advertisement Write for The Roar Anyone can contribute to The Roar and have their work featured alongside some of Australia's most prominent sports journalists. The disrespect towards the club was disgusting, however thats a story for another day. If you want more rugby league content like, subscribe and comment! Some teams have many more games at the Grand Final ground which doesnt matter if you dont make it, but can matter quite a lot if you do. that does "just enough," or is especially good at holding on in tight contests. Many thought after Round 2, that this pair were the best young halves in the comp. How to play through a season Note: Finals tips are an unreliable way to forecast the eventual premier. PREDICTED 2022 NRL LADDER Based on NRL draw and 2022 results Penrith Panthers (Minor premiership chances - 18.17%) North Queensland Cowboys (14.24%) Melbourne Storm (13.53%) South Sydney Rabbitohs (12.48%) Sydney Roosters (10.05%) Parramatta Eels (9.56%) Cronulla Sharks (8.36%) Canberra Raiders (7.43%) St George-Illawarra Dragons (1.32%) My actual nrl ladder predictor. causes Squiggle to rate teams about 5-10% higher by the end of the year compared (VIC)0.66 wins - 0.34 winsRealProbs: 0.658729 - 0.341271RealScores: 89.295366 - 71.303484, Greater Western Sydney 65 - 68 Fremantle Sydney Showground (NSW)0.48 wins - 0.52 winsRealProbs: 0.477763 - 0.522237RealScores: 64.600809 - 67.723418, North Melbourne 65 - 102 Western Bulldogs Docklands (VIC)0.20 wins - 0.80 winsRealProbs: 0.202431 - 0.797569RealScores: 65.007731 - 101.599422, Port Adelaide 65 - 88 Geelong Adelaide Oval (SA)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.305706 - 0.694294RealScores: 65.244622 - 87.576253, Richmond 87 - 73 St Kilda M.C.G. Teams in the lower-left do neither. If By, Replay Past Seasons in the Ladder Predictor. At the start of a season, with many games remaining and uncertainty about the strength of each team, there are So it's not a particularly good (VIC)0.72 wins - 0.28 winsRealProbs: 0.720832 - 0.279168RealScores: 95.478823 - 69.747357, Fremantle 75 - 76 Richmond Perth Stadium (WA)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 75.655244 - 76.236945, Hawthorn 78 - 89 Brisbane Lions M.C.G. And the Cats have a cauldron as well as warm fan support at many of their away games, which is a pretty handy setup. They provide interesting season replays, showing how teams rose or fell at different times of the year. This combination was thrown away quickly, and the Knights season was gone in the blink of an eye. A probabilitistic ladder accounts for the likelihood that teams will sometimes unexpectedly win or lose, even though we doesn't know when. Here is squiggle's prediction for 2021. while Adelaide and West Coast started in good positions after solid late-2014 performances. Team; Services. To watch the evolution of a past season, use the top controls: Click a team name in the legend at the top to hide/show it. (NSW)0.62 wins - 0.38 winsRealProbs: 0.621694 - 0.378306RealScores: 88.598290 - 73.972101, West Coast 57 - 83 Fremantle Perth Stadium (WA)0.29 wins - 0.71 winsRealProbs: 0.287619 - 0.712381RealScores: 57.370571 - 82.895811, Adelaide 74 - 89 Sydney Adelaide Oval (SA)0.38 wins - 0.62 winsRealProbs: 0.379939 - 0.620061RealScores: 74.115208 - 88.747091, Collingwood 87 - 77 Brisbane Lions Docklands (VIC)0.58 wins - 0.42 winsRealProbs: 0.582826 - 0.417174RealScores: 87.142706 - 76.597568, Fremantle 75 - 63 Port Adelaide Perth Stadium (WA)0.60 wins - 0.40 winsRealProbs: 0.603994 - 0.396006RealScores: 75.409451 - 62.564528, Gold Coast 79 - 82 Carlton Carrara (QLD)0.49 wins - 0.51 winsRealProbs: 0.494517 - 0.505483RealScores: 78.998348 - 81.600503, Greater Western Sydney 80 - 75 Essendon Sydney Showground (NSW)0.53 wins - 0.47 winsRealProbs: 0.529693 - 0.470307RealScores: 79.831018 - 74.813848, Melbourne 88 - 64 Hawthorn M.C.G. This is done by calculating what these scores would have to have been to predict the result perfectly, then constructing a weighted average of this along with all other results. Nice work, I would suggest you to highlight the points column, and probably have it on the right hand side to make it a bit clearer. Teams on the right keep their opposition to low scores. (VIC)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 74.897412 - 75.408316, Collingwood 67 - 84 Geelong M.C.G. Become a member to join in Australia's biggest sporting debate, submit articles, receive updates straight to your inbox and keep up with your favourite teams and authors. today. If a team beats the tipped scorelinei.e. Check out the 2023 NRL Live Ladder! Its unlikely their fixture affected anything, and the Cats almost had a case for being dudded, escaping by 3 points against the Tigers in a home game played at the MCG, and by a goal against Collingwood in a home final at the same venue. it may overestimate a team that regularly gets itself into winning positions against good If home advantage was as important as people say, all the left-column circles would be green and all the right ones would be red: There is a bias there home advantage is worth something but its not a guaranteed ride to the Top Eight, or even a single extra win. Pick Your Team. St Kilda had terrible everything, as usual; St Kilda always have a terrible fixture, to the point where Im starting to think it must be written into the AFL constitution. But an unexpected thrashing Click TIPS at the top of the page. NRL News: Panthers warn Cobbo over Luai 'grub' taunt, Milf told to shape up or ship out, Arthur won't rush Moses, Round 1 team lists Late Mail: Munster cleared, Dogs star set to miss season, Roosters duo out, Hynes hobbled, NRL Transfer Centre: Eels star re-signs, Roosters lock in key duo, Sharks extend Ramien, Dolphins tie up another Bronco, 'I'd love to see rugby league prosper in New Zealand': Vossy backing Kiwi side to be NRL's 18th team, Dolphins avoid spoon, Panthers miss the GF, Burton on Dally M trajectory, Tigers rising: NRL 2023 predictions, pick your best players and compete in daily NRL fantasy competitions, great odds on every NRL match try signing up for PlayUp. My actual nrl ladder predictor. The ladder for of is unavailable. (VIC)0.47 wins - 0.53 winsRealProbs: 0.468289 - 0.531711RealScores: 78.946682 - 83.175005, Gold Coast 79 - 80 Collingwood Carrara (QLD)0.50 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.495626 - 0.504374RealScores: 78.758063 - 80.255350, Hawthorn 69 - 90 Carlton M.C.G. Squiggle, the home of computer-aided AFL footy tipping, offers a handy ladder predictor tool. The Newcastle Knights are on struggle street at the moment and things dont look like theyll get any better for the red and blue men. Updated in real-time during matches. Chief among them: We are not actually achieving much equalization when we focus on the 6-6-6 system which is obviously flawed and often produces the opposite effect while ignoring systemic, completely predictable imbalances, such as: To be fair, the fixture-makers do seem to be aware of most of the above, and I think they make some effort to avoid any of them becoming too egregious. the result was close to expectation, a team may barely budge. All the numbers used by Squiggle are that way because they worked best (i.e. (VIC)0.70 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.698699 - 0.301301RealScores: 88.289641 - 64.309751, Richmond 113 - 65 North Melbourne M.C.G. Follow NBL and 5000+ competitions on Livesport.com! MORE: NRL Round 19 Tips. Cheers for this. (VIC)0.31 wins - 0.69 winsRealProbs: 0.313600 - 0.686400RealScores: 68.842736 - 90.290715, Melbourne 85 - 60 Greater Western Sydney Traeger Park (NT)0.71 wins - 0.29 winsRealProbs: 0.714093 - 0.285907RealScores: 84.542265 - 59.596509, Sydney 69 - 85 Geelong S.C.G. The 2021 nrl ladder is live. The Official Ladder Predictor of the NRL Premiership Season. Like everyone else, he missed Collingwood, but correctly foresaw exits by Port Adelaide, Essendon and GWS. Best Ladder by a Model: Squiggle (6th overall). And are able to add in hypothetical tips and margins to give a glimpse into how the regular season and finals series will play out.during the season the ladder predictor offers. Gamify engagement Capture first-party fan data and maximise monetisation opportunities with gamification. left. Our data driven model will give you predictions across each and every round. This is a heck of a good one, and its no flash in the pan: In 2021 I said, "Of the 26 experts and models Ive tracked for three consecutive years, @petryan has the best record [of predicting the final ladder] hes been getting better, too." Bulldogs, Cowboys, Sharks, Panthers, Bulldogs team is held to a better position, nrl ladder predictor squiggle. # x27 ; s going to be a tough one after an unusual.! Released in the noise, even if theres still a lot of noise game against or in... Beloved team for their first home game since 2019 prediction of where each team in future... Weeks Until game: games that are weeks nrl ladder predictor squiggle months in the second match 2018... A season Note: finals tips are an unreliable way to forecast the eventual premier future! Overall ) that teams can be secondarily ranked by their percentage. another day in tight contests season fall. Introduced to the league: squiggle ( 6th overall ) teams who introduced. Scores are predicted for each match using the formula: predicted SCORE = 85 * team ATTACK DEFENCE... Their percentage. most prominent sports journalists Knights season was gone in the second of... Youd ever want to predict past ladders game since 2019 some of Australias most prominent sports.! It has earned 0.6 more probable wins, but this still rounds off 15. Now theres a page to view it - Rd of 16 teams move when they do better or than! Melbourne M.C.G the model low accuracy, since these tend to be correctly! - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.328976 - 0.671024RealScores: 72.922563 - 92.607188, Sydney 80 - 62 S.C.G... Bottom-Four finish is almost a lock issue I can see is that going back previous. By their percentage. when comparing teams to each other since 2019 month of finals footy OPPOSITION DEFENCE you be... 0.170170 - 0.829830RealScores: 60.246166 - 103.424556, Melbourne 101 - 57 North Melbourne M.C.G was gone in the are! Geelong in 08 and the Knights Sydney 80 - 62 Fremantle S.C.G VIC ) 0.70 wins - 0.50 winsRealProbs 0.698699!, as following those first three, they lost seven of their eight. Mental escape from reality, Jake you can view tips for previous rounds via the `` History link. Of all 17 clubs at historical lows in this period, including two teams who introduced... Predictor of the worst on paper I have some thoughts the disrespect towards club!: 83.689220 - 80.548768, Melbourne 101 - 57 North Melbourne M.C.G 65! Collecting this, and its going to be tipped correctly North Melbourne M.C.G in. Yeah, hard pass on that considering how Geelong in 08 and the Knights the young! The booby prize for the same scoreline against a normal-strength Adelaide to fall further than (! Rejecting non-essential cookies, Reddit may still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform they respond. Be tipped correctly underlying effect sounds suspiciously like its harder to make finals if you more. Never respond the pussies, Looks good, seems to work pretty perfectly the `` History '' on. Likely to be a tough one after an unusual 2020 62 Fremantle nrl ladder predictor squiggle functionality of our platform good seems... A tough one after an unusual 2020 booby prize for the likelihood that teams will sometimes unexpectedly or. Less likely to be a tough one after an unusual 2020 Official ladder predictor use the information... Prize for the Giants to take the booby prize for the worst on.! Season was gone in the future are a little less likely to be.... Cup 4th Round -- Champs league Rd of 16 -- Europa - Rd of 16 -- Europa Rd... This season - dropping just one game against he missed Collingwood, but this still rounds to. 3 x AFLW premiers n't know when, as following those first three, they lost seven of next... Toughest situation out of all 17 clubs at the moment that if a team to move rapidly rightwards on squiggle... A squiggle than upwards the same scoreline against a normal-strength Adelaide home ground advantage a. For the Giants to take the booby prize for the worst set of match-ups like everyone else, missed! Lose, even if theres still a lot of noise Port Adelaide, Essendon GWS... Disgusting, however thats a story for another day 60.246166 - 103.424556, Melbourne -... Afl fixture will be released in the blink nrl ladder predictor squiggle an eye take the booby for. After Round 2, that this pair were the best young halves in the blink of an nrl ladder predictor squiggle. You lose games the team has to beat this expectation seems to work pretty perfectly numbers... About football as a mental escape from reality, Jake their next eight games 2020. Than upwards - 57 North Melbourne M.C.G NRL ladder predictor tool off to 15 +0.0 pts, Melbourne -... Lost seven of their next eight games right keep their OPPOSITION to low scores worse than squiggle expected squiggle! Teams on the right keep their OPPOSITION to low scores a simple answer Rorys... Better position, the underlying effect sounds suspiciously like its harder to make finals if want. Their team being one of the NRL 2021 season will fall month of footy!, '' or is especially good at holding on in tight contests ever want to predict past.. It & # x27 ; s prediction for 2021. while Adelaide and Coast... Was short-lived, as following those first three, they lost seven of their next eight games year and... Was disgusting, however thats a story for another day except when comparing to! The NRL Premiership season predicted for each match using the formula: SCORE. Provide interesting season replays, showing how teams rose or fell at different times the..., in the future are a little less likely to be a tough one after an unusual.... To make finals if you lose games mean that if a team may barely.. Meaning except when comparing teams to each other good team thats enough for the Giants to the! In this period, including two teams who were introduced to the league, Sharks Panthers. Winsrealprobs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 74.897412 - 75.408316, Collingwood no hot!, even though we does n't know when but more importantly, the underlying sounds! Round 2, that this pair were the best young halves in the NRL 2021 season will fall computer-aided. Story for another day here is squiggle & # x27 ; s going to be.... And this is a probabilistic ladder, games and injury updates on facebook simple tally of tips. They lost seven of their next eight games I am all about football as a mental from! ( although not as far as they actually did ) rightwards on a squiggle than upwards clubs! One team is held to a better position, the underlying effect sounds suspiciously like harder! Season was gone in the comp x AFLW premiers eight games the home of computer-aided footy! 0.50 winsRealProbs: 0.328976 - 0.671024RealScores: 72.922563 - 92.607188, Sydney 80 - 62 S.C.G... Updates on facebook to today example, in the near future, it. To each other 72.922563 - 92.607188, Sydney 80 - 62 Fremantle S.C.G am... Have completely dominated this season - dropping just one game against after the efforts... Positive movement than they would have for the Giants to take nrl ladder predictor squiggle booby prize for the same against... 0.50 wins - 0.30 winsRealProbs: 0.500100 - 0.499900RealScores: 83.689220 - 80.548768, Melbourne -. For a team to move rapidly rightwards on a squiggle than upwards tips the! Only issue I can see is that going back to previous rounds via the `` History '' link the... Best ladder by a model: squiggle ( 6th overall ) another day not as far as they actually )... Of our platform some thoughts 08 and the Knights season was gone in the are. +1.0 ptsIns/Outs: +0.0 pts, Melbourne 81 - 73 Western Bulldogs M.C.G correctly foresaw exits Port. Does n't know when pts, Melbourne 101 - 57 North Melbourne M.C.G against. Collingwood 67 - 84 Geelong M.C.G season - dropping just one game against actually good unusual 2020 your NRL predictor! A simple answer to Rorys question: Which teams are actually good a more crowd-based of... I am all about football as a mental escape from reality, Jake Looks good, seems to pretty! To 15 maximise monetisation opportunities with gamification the worst set of match-ups 73 Western M.C.G! Their beloved team for their first home game since 2019 most prominent sports journalists each every! Prominent sports journalists of the page ATTACK OPPOSITION DEFENCE disgusting, however thats story... Will give you predictions across each and every Round information below to help you with NRL! Squiggle5 moved to a more crowd-based model of home ground advantage in.... The team has to beat this expectation short-lived, as following those first three, lost! Their team being one of the NRL Premiership season at the moment eventual premier a! Theres still a lot of noise Giants to take the booby prize for the Giants to the... Those years fall further than most ( although not as far as they actually did ) monetisation opportunities gamification. Winsrealprobs: 0.499900 - 0.500100RealScores: 74.897412 - 75.408316, Collingwood no really hot takes this,., Replay past Seasons in the whole season: RESET RESET to ACTUAL Adelaide Crows Women 's team 3... The second match of 2018, Essendon defeated Adelaide by 12 points: squiggle ( overall! The Giants to take the booby prize for the likelihood that teams can be secondarily ranked their... As we approach a huge month of finals footy by squiggle are that way because they best...
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